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Report #NBU-970F044C·Framework v5.10·Pipeline v0.4·Evaluated 27 Oct 2026·OECD: 5.1 Psychology and cognitive sciences·Subfield: Clinical Psychology·Basis: Full text·Type: Cross-sectional study

Predicting musical taste: Relationships with personality aspects and political orientation

Scott Devenport et al.Scott Devenport, Adrian C. North·2019·Psychology of Music·10.1177/0305735619864647 ↗

Primary claim

Personality aspects and political orientation were superior predictors of musical taste in comparison to personality domains.

Tentative · unequal-complexity in-sample models cannot establish predictive superiority, and the Mainstream comparison contains an unresolved statistical contradiction
In brief

Aspect-level personality analysis generates new musical-taste hypotheses, but unequal-complexity model comparisons do not establish superior prediction.

ReliabilityConcerns4 of 4 checks completeRead the entry ↓
Unlikely to hold — the claim's weakest requirement is that the effect exists at all. Experimental. Every point below is traceable to a quoted passage, but this forecast has not yet been validated against known replication outcomes.
Abstract

Based on their meta-analysis, Schäfer and Mehlhorn argue that the weak relationships identified indicate that personality is a poor predictor of musical taste. The present research challenged this by measuring personality aspects rather than the Big Five domains and also political orientation. A sample of 157 university students aged 17 to 55 years ( M = 24.60, SD = 7.63) completed measures of musical taste (Short Test of Musical Preference [STOMP-R]), personality (Big Five Aspects Scale [BFAS]), and political orientation (International Personality Item Pool [IPIP] Liberalism). Responses to the STOMP-R produced four factors, labeled Intense, Rhythmic, Established, and Mainstream music. Hierarchical multiple regression indicated that, in comparison to domains ( R 2 range = .12–.23, p < .05), aspects of personality were better predictors of musical taste for three of four musical dimensions ( R 2 range = .20–.28, p < .05). Both the aspect and domain models included political orientation. Conflicting correlational relationships within domains were responsible for weaker relationships at the domain level. Aspects of intellect, openness, assertiveness, compassion, politeness, and also political orientation were unique predictors of musical taste across the four dimensions. Personality aspects and political orientation were superior predictors of musical taste in comparison to personality domains. Future research should investigate these aspect-level relationships in more diverse samples.

Key Claims

Primary finding · Tentative

Personality aspects and political orientation were superior predictors of musical taste in comparison to personality domains.

Unlikely to hold — the claim's weakest requirement is that the effect exists at all. Experimental. Every point below is traceable to a quoted passage, but this forecast has not yet been validated against known replication outcomes.

unequal-complexity in-sample models cannot establish predictive superiority, and the Mainstream comparison contains an unresolved statistical contradiction

Abstract, final substantive finding
Quote verified
Secondary · Tentative

conflicting correlational relationships between aspects appear to be responsible for some of the weaker relationships observed throughout the literature

cross-sectional coefficient patterns suggest cancellation without directly testing the proposed explanation

Discussion, conclusion
Quote verified
Secondary · Tentative

Aspects of intellect, openness, assertiveness, compassion, politeness, and also political orientation were unique predictors of musical taste across the four dimensions.

single-sample exploratory regressions involve many uncorrected tests and uncertain music-factor measurement

Abstract
Quote verified
Secondary · Tentative

Political orientation emerged as a unique, relevant predictor of taste for one musical dimension after controlling for personality

a single-sample observational coefficient with a small incremental contribution among multiple tests

Discussion, conclusion
Quote verified

Derived from the full evaluation — not a separate score.

Strengths · Limitations

Strengths

#contribution

A delineated question about personality measurement

The introduction connects the aspect-level question to the personality–music meta-analysis and distinguishes it from prior domain- and facet-level work.

↳ Introduction, meta-analysis and BFAS discussion

#methodological rigour

Regression reporting includes uncertainty and effect sizes

Table 3 presents coefficients, confidence intervals, and semi-partial effects, while the Methods reports an a priori power analysis.

↳ Method, Participants; Table 3

#positioning

Generalization limits are stated and contextualized

The discussion explicitly notes differences between musical dimensions across studies and calls for larger, culturally diverse samples.

↳ Discussion, cross-study comparisons and limitations

Limitations

#methodological rigour

Mainstream model significance contradicts its statistic

The Results reports F(9,147)=4.81 with p=.05 and calls the domain model nonsignificant. The printed statistic implies p<.001, leaving a central model comparison unresolved.

↳ Results, Mainstream music paragraph

#positioning

Larger models receive an untested predictive advantage

Aspect models contain more predictors, but superiority is inferred from raw in-sample R² without complexity adjustment or external validation. The interpretation does not acknowledge this central limitation.

↳ Results, hierarchical regressions; Discussion, opening and conclusion

#methodological rigour

Exploratory measurement uncertainty remains insufficiently addressed

The adapted music measure produces factors with α=.58–.74 after a forced four-factor extraction. The consequences for estimated associations are not traced through the conclusions.

↳ Method, Short Test of Musical Preference; Results, factor analysis; Table 2

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Nabu Commentary

The aspect-level analysis addresses a defined measurement question and produces candidate associations for further research. Its central superiority claim rests on raw in-sample R² from models with different numbers of predictors, so the evidence does not establish better predictive performance. The discussion's omission of that limitation weighs against otherwise substantive engagement with prior literature and generalizability. The Mainstream domain model's F/p contradiction separately leaves part of the headline comparison unresolved, while low music-factor reliabilities and multiple coefficient tests temper the individual findings.

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Author Note / Field Feedback

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Dimension breakdown

Study Quality

Limited2.9

Confidence medium
Contribution
3.3

The study adds direct aspect-level personality evidence to musical-taste research and jointly considers political orientation. Its contribution remains incremental because the single-sample comparison does not identify predictive superiority between models of unequal complexity.

Introduction, BFAS and prior facet research; Results, hierarchical regressions; Discussion
Methodological Rigour
2.7

Power planning, assumption checks, confidence intervals, and semi-partial effects support assessability, while unequal-complexity in-sample comparisons, measurement uncertainty, and incomplete-case exclusions limit execution. The merit-based score also reflects reporting defects, with the Mainstream F/p contradiction surfaced separately through the Red flag rather than a reliability cap.

Method, Participants and Measures; Results, factor analysis and Mainstream paragraph; Tables 2–3
Reporting
3.1

Explicit hypotheses and an organized progression make the analysis readable. The central claim of superior prediction materially exceeds what unvalidated in-sample R² comparisons establish.

Introduction, hypotheses; Abstract; Discussion, conclusion

superior predictors

Positioning
2.8

The paper engages the meta-analysis, prior facet findings, and aspect framework, and acknowledges cultural and sampling limits. The omitted model-complexity caveat directly affects its main interpretation and binds the score at 2.8.

Introduction; Results, regression specification; Discussion, limitations and conclusion

Reliability

Concerns4 of 4 checks


Results checkConcern
  • Personality aspects and political orientation were superior predictors of musical taste in comparison to personality domains: "F(9, 147) = 4.81, p = .05" (Results, Mainstream music paragraph). The printed F(9,147)=4.81 gives p<.001 and R²=.2275, contradicting the accompanying nonsignificance statement and conditionally exceeding the aspect model's R²=.201. → Not supported by the paper's own data
Reporting and transparencyClean

Ethics approval and informed consent are declared, and the funding statement reports no financial support. The supplied evidence establishes no research-conduct concern.

Ethics approval: declared

Reference IntegrityClean

29 references in manuscript 26 of 26 checkable references found in an index 3 have no canonical index record — counted, but not index-checkable 3 references confirmed by manual review

References not verified automatically are resolved manually within 24 hours.

Post-Publication RecordClean

No retraction or expression of concern found in Crossref (includes Retraction Watch).

Last checked: 27 Oct 2026

Sources: Crossref (incl. Retraction Watch) ✓

Readiness

Where this paper’s evidence sits on the path from initial observation to real-world use.

Foundational

The work remains an initial correlational observation rather than a tested prediction system or actionable procedure.

Method, Procedure; Discussion, conclusion
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