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Report #NBU-A86C466A·Framework v5.9·Pipeline v0.4·Evaluated 11 Sept 2026·OECD: 5.8 Other social sciences·Subfield: Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty·Basis: Full text·Type: Cross-sectional study

Prevalence and citation advantage of gold open access in the subject areas of the Scopus database

Dorta–González et al.Dorta–González, Santana-Jiménez·2017·Research Evaluation·10.1093/reseval/rvx035 ↗

Primary claim

There is no generalizable gold OA citation advantage at journal level.

Supported · broad journal comparisons support the direction, but compositional differences are only partially controlled
In brief

A broad journal-level census challenges a general gold open-access citation advantage, but unadjusted compositional differences limit interpretation.

ReliabilityNo concerns4 of 4 checks completeSee what was checked ↓
Possible — the claim's weakest requirement is that the effect exists at all. Based on how the study was designed and conducted, not on statistics extracted from the paper. Experimental. Every point below is traceable to a quoted passage, but this forecast has not yet been validated against known replication outcomes.
Abstract

The potential benefit of open access (OA) in relation to citation impact has been discussed in the literature in depth. The methodology used to test the OA citation advantage includes comparing OA vs. non-OA journal impact factors and citations of OA versus non-OA articles published in the same non-OA journals. However, one problem with many studies is that they are small -restricted to a discipline or set of journals-. Moreover, conclusions are not entirely consistent among research areas and 'early view' and 'selection bias' have been suggested as possible explications. In the present paper, an analysis of gold OA from across all areas of research -the 27 subject areas of the Scopus database- is realized. As a novel contribution, this paper takes a journal-level approach to assessing the OA citation advantage, whereas many others take a paper-level approach. Data were obtained from Scimago Lab, sorted using Scopus database, and tagged as OA/non-OA using the DOAJ list. Jointly with the OA citation advantage, the OA prevalence as well as the differences between access types (OA vs. non-OA) in production and referencing are tested. A total of 3,737 OA journals (16.8%) and 18,485 non-OA journals (83.2%) published in 2015 are considered. As the main conclusion, there is no generalizable gold OA citation advantage at journal level.

Key Claims

Primary finding · Supported

There is no generalizable gold OA citation advantage at journal level.

Possible — the claim's weakest requirement is that the effect exists at all. Based on how the study was designed and conducted, not on statistics extracted from the paper. Experimental. Every point below is traceable to a quoted passage, but this forecast has not yet been validated against known replication outcomes.

broad journal comparisons support the direction, but compositional differences are only partially controlled

Abstract; Conclusions, pp. 10–11
Quote verified
Secondary · Supported

In fact, in many areas a gold OA citation disadvantage is observed.

field-level medians repeatedly favor non-OA journals, though the comparisons remain observational

Conclusions, pp. 10–11
Quote verified
Secondary · Supported

When we consider only the journals of greatest impact (first quartile), the advantage of OA is observed in only one of the 27 areas, whereas the opposite happens in 5 of the 27 areas.

the claim directly reports the six significant Q1 comparisons in Table 6

Conclusions, p. 11; Table 6
Quote verified
Secondary · Tentative

It seems that the gap between open and non-open access journals decreases over the years when the analysis is controlled by journal age.

small age-stratified groups and an indexing-year proxy limit inference about a narrowing temporal gap

Results, p. 9; Table 7
Quote verified
Secondary · Tentative

The average impact of a journal is not generally related to the business model used by the publisher.

the broad policy framing exceeds the separately stratified observational comparisons

Conclusions, p. 12
Quote verified

Derived from the full evaluation — not a separate score.

Strengths · Limitations

Strengths

#contribution

Comprehensive cross-disciplinary journal coverage

The dataset includes 3,737 OA and 18,485 non-OA journals and reports results across all 27 Scopus subject areas, substantially broadening the scope of earlier discipline-restricted comparisons.

↳ Abstract; Methods, pp. 3–4; Table 1

#methodological rigour

Targeted quartile and age analyses

The paper supplements overall comparisons with SJR-quartile and Scopus-entry-period analyses, showing how prestige and journal age alter the observed OA/non-OA pattern.

↳ Results, pp. 8–9; Tables 6–7

#positioning

Limitations traced to interpretation

The Scopus coverage limitation is linked to Arts and Humanities, Business, Economics, and Social Sciences and to the possibility that a positive OA effect is not visible in the database.

↳ Conclusions, pp. 11–12

Limitations

#methodological rigour

Composition remains only partially controlled

Most headline comparisons use separate equality-of-median tests. Quartile and age are examined independently rather than in a joint model that could address several systematic differences between OA and non-OA journals simultaneously.

↳ Methods, pp. 4–5; Tables 3 and 5–7

#methodological rigour

Access classification lacks sensitivity analysis

Gold OA status is assigned through DOAJ membership, with hybrid journals classified as non-OA. The analysis does not quantify misclassification or test whether alternative tagging decisions change the results.

↳ Methods, pp. 3–4

#reporting

Recommendations exceed descriptive evidence

The final subscription, APC-allocation, and publication-strategy recommendations imply operational guidance that was not evaluated through an institutional policy or author-level causal design.

↳ Conclusions, p. 12

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Nabu Commentary

The 22,222-journal census and coverage of all 27 Scopus subject areas support a meaningful contribution to the OA citation debate. Median tests are suited to the reported skewed distributions, while the quartile and journal-entry-period analyses help explain some of the overall OA disadvantage. Methodological Rigour is limited because these analyses do not jointly adjust for journal composition, DOAJ-based access classification is not stress-tested, and numerous field-level tests are reported without multiplicity correction. The central journal-level conclusion is more defensible than the final recommendations about publication, subscription, and APC-allocation strategy.

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Author Note / Field Feedback

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Dimension breakdown

Study Quality

Sound3.5

Confidence medium
Contribution
3.7

The score reflects a meaningful journal-level extension of the OA citation literature across all 27 Scopus subject areas, supported by a census of 22,222 journals. The advance is primarily broader coverage and stratified description rather than a new identification strategy.

Abstract; Introduction, pp. 2–3; Methods, pp. 3–4

“this paper takes a journal-level approach to assessing the OA citation advantage”

Methodological Rigour
3.2

Median-based comparisons suit the reported skewed distributions, and quartile and Scopus-entry-period analyses probe prestige and age. The comparisons remain largely unadjusted, the DOAJ classification is not validated through sensitivity analysis, and multiple field-level tests are not corrected.

Methods, pp. 3–5; Tables 3 and 5–7

“the characteristics of each of these sources might influence the results”

Reporting
3.6

The paper follows its three research questions through dedicated results and retains the journal-level qualifier in its main conclusion. Explanatory mechanisms and recommendations in the closing discussion are stated more confidently than the descriptive comparisons warrant.

Introduction, p. 3; Results, pp. 5–9; Conclusions, pp. 10–12

“there is no generalizable gold OA citation advantage at journal level”

Positioning
3.8

The discussion engages findings both supporting and questioning an OA citation advantage and distinguishes journal-level gold OA from article-level and green OA evidence. The Scopus coverage limitation is traced to specific fields and to the possibility that a positive effect may be hidden.

Introduction, pp. 2–3; Discussion, pp. 9–10; Conclusions, pp. 11–12

“there may be a positive effect of OA upon citation impact, but it is not visible in the database used”

Reliability

No concerns4 of 4 checks


Internal CoherenceClean

Sample totals and central findings are internally consistent with the reported tables. No material statistical impossibility or methods–results contradiction was established.

Research ConductClean

The study uses aggregate bibliometric metadata and does not require human-subject ethics review. No unsupported data, code, ethics, or conflict-of-interest availability claim is made.

Flags: 0 declared / 5 total

Reference IntegrityClean

26 of 26 checkable references verified

27 references in manuscript 1 have no canonical index record — counted, but not index-checkable 1 reference confirmed by manual review

References not verified automatically are resolved manually within 24 hours.

Post-Publication RecordClean

No retraction or expression of concern found in Crossref (includes Retraction Watch).

Last checked: 17 Oct 2026

Sources: Crossref (incl. Retraction Watch) ✓

Readiness

Where this paper’s evidence sits on the path from initial observation to real-world use.

Demonstrated

The study uses large-scale real-world bibliometric data, but it evaluates no implemented policy, institutional decision rule, or intervention. Readiness therefore remains at the descriptive evidence stage.

Methods, pp. 3–5; Conclusions, p. 12

“The DOAJ list was used as the source for OA tagging.”

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